by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored post
There is a clear definition of the money line and the results that the Toronto Maple Leafs get as a street favorite. The Maple Leafs are a -130 away favorite against the +110 home underdog Edmonton Oilers for a grand total of 6.5 goals NHL odds for Thursday in sports betting monitored by OddsShark.com.
Since Sheldon Keefe became their head coach in November 2019, Toronto has been 8-4 as the away favorite from -110 to -130 on the money line Sports betting sites. Four of the last six matchups in this example ended OVER. The Maple Leafs are only 7-7 in 14 games under Keefe when they go -131 or lower in minus money. The Oilers are at home 4-4 as underdogs in their last eight games.
Maple Leafs v Oilers | OddsShark Matchup Report
The two North Division clubs, which will return to Rogers Place on Saturday, split two games in Toronto last week. But the Maple Leafs are 8-2 in their last 10 games against Edmonton. The total has only been passed over twice in the last six matchups.
The Maple Leafs are 6-2-0 this season. According to Natural Stat Trick, Toronto’s actual goals in four straight games were lower than expected against (five-on-five games only), freeing centers Auston Matthews and John Tavares and right wing Mitch Marner for offensive attack. Toronto ranks 12th (52.7) and 14th (51.1), but only ranks 21st (47.7) in the proportion of opportunities with high risk.
That makes them vulnerable to a dialed-in goalkeeper, but Edmonton has been lacking that element lately. Toronto is 11th in the NHL with 31 teams in goals per game (3.25) and 13th in goals against (2.75). Thanks in large part to Marner and Tavares, Toronto has the league’s second tier power play (41.7) percent, while the penalty unit ranks 14th (80.0).
It is unlikely that Frederik Andersen will have a night off anytime soon as reliable substitute goalkeeper Jack Campbell (leg) is out for several weeks. Andersen is 4-2-0 this season with 2.84 goals against the average and a saving of 0.896 percent. Professionally, Andersen is 13-1-1 with a GAA of 2.21 and a savings of 0.928 percent in 16 games against Edmonton.
The Oilers are 3-5-0 and have lost two in a row, with the total over in both games. The statistics confirm the impression that Edmonton is telling superstar centers Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to do a lot in five-on-five situations with relatively little time in the offensive zone. With uniform and full strength, the Oilers are in 26th place for shot attempts (46.5 percent) and 19th place for shots (48.6 percent), but occupy ninth place for chances with high risk (53.6 percent) ).
Edmonton can throw itself on a team that is free for one night. Overall, the Oilers occupy 17th place in the goal scoring (2.88 per game) and 26th place in the goal scoring (3.63). Your power play has risen to 19th place (17.9 percent), while the penalty unit is in 20th place (76.0 percent).
Mikko Koskinen, who is 3-5-0 with 3.42 GAA and a saving of 0.900 percent, is the only goalkeeper to have played for Edmonton this season due to the absence of veteran Mike Smith. Koskinen is 1-4-0 with a GAA of 3.68 and a saving of 0.874 percent in five games against Toronto. Substitute goalkeeper Stuart Skinner has not started an official game since March 6 when he was on the Edmonton AHL farm team.
After Saturday’s rematch, the Maple Leafs take a four-day hiatus before hosting the Vancouver Canucks for three consecutive games (February 4th, 6th and 8th).
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